“What did you just say to me, Tom Cruise?” – Master Iron Fist
Sherlock Holmes Conquers. Chipmunks Salvages.
Now this is an epic weekend. Just like that, Sensei now holds the nation’s longest #1 call streak at 4 weeks (along with only two other sites). The rest got tripped up by The Muppet’s recent box office troubles.
Look for Batman, Robert Downey Jr., and a return to 2009 to showcase this time around.
1. Sherlock Holmes: A Game Of Shadows
Prediction: 68 million. Easily past the original…
It’s deja-vu back to the Christmas opening weekend 2009. There you had Sherlock Holmes and Chipmunks 2 taking shots at Avatar. Amazing how all three found success and Avatar became film’s all time leading grosser. That kind of pedigree will not be lost this weekend.
Film can do Fast Five-like opening numbers but the sub-par ….. frame will hold it back considerably. Still, expect quite a boost .. to the overall box office market.
2. Alvin And The Chipmunks 3: Chip-Wrecked
Prediction: 36 million. Perfect timing…
Animated films are drastically under-performing across the board right now. The most notable being Happy Feet 2 which was also a animated franchise sequel. Despite the current lackluster results around animation, this one will still pull very good numbers. Not franchise best, but still a very high opening nonetheless.
3. Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol
Prediction: 15 million. Batman wins, at everything…
Despite this roll-out in only 425 theaters (300 IMAX), this one will do very well off solid reviews and the addition of the … The Dark Knight Rises prologue. You have to wonder about the strategy here though, why not just roll it out on a large … screen count to begin with?
4. New Year’s Eve
Prediction: 8.5 million. Holiday wishes…
Film did not impress anyone last week with its low opening. Will get a slight boost as it gets closer to the real New Year’s Eve holiday, just don’t expect much confetti being thrown to celebrate these numbers.
5. Young Adult
Prediction: 6 million. Has the right feel…
A quirky, older skewing comedy actually fits in well right now. Film will tap into the same pool that made Juno and others a surprise box office hit.
Add to that the film’s legitimate Oscar sleeper buzz and you … have this better than expected result.
All the best,
Sensei White Lotus
Young Adult image: © © 2011 Paramount Pictures and Mercury Productions, LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol image: © 2011 Paramount Pictures.
Alvin And The Chipmunks: Chipwrecked photo by Courtesy Twentieth Century Fox.
© Alvin and The Chipmunks, The Chipettes and Characters TM and 2011 Bagdasarian Productions, LLC. All rights reserved.
The Dark Knight Rises, Sherlock Holmes 2, New Year’s Eve images: © 2011-12 Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc.